Have Bitcoin Critics Been Wrong?

Yes. 478 Bitcoin death predictions have been wrong. Every obituary in the Bitcoin Is Dead database predicted Bitcoin's failure, collapse, or worthlessness, yet Bitcoin continues operating 24/7 with a market cap in the hundreds of billions. The track record of Bitcoin critics is remarkably poor.

478Wrong predictions
0%Accuracy rate
$0.11First obituary
70,073,555%Price increase

The track record of Bitcoin critics

Nobel Prize economists

Paul Krugman, Joseph Stiglitz, and other Nobel laureates have predicted Bitcoin's failure. Bitcoin has outperformed traditional assets they recommended.

Billionaire investors

Warren Buffett called it "rat poison squared." Jamie Dimon called it a "fraud." Both missed one of the best-performing assets of the decade.

Gold advocates

Peter Schiff has been predicting Bitcoin's demise since 2011. Bitcoin has outperformed gold by over 100:1 during that period.

Major publications

Bloomberg, Forbes, Financial Times, and other major outlets have published Bitcoin obituaries that aged poorly as Bitcoin reached new all-time highs.

Why do Bitcoin critics keep getting it wrong?

Traditional framework

Critics apply traditional valuation models that don't account for network effects or digital scarcity.

Confirmation bias

Once critics take a public stance, they tend to double down rather than update their views.

Price focus

Critics focus on price crashes while ignoring the underlying network growth and adoption.

Incentive misalignment

Some critics have competing interests (gold, traditional finance) that bias their analysis.

Notable wrong predictions

They have it backwards. AI isn’t bullish for Bitcoin; it’s a threat to it.

Peter Schiff · BigGo Finance

I’m not sure why Bitcoin didn’t sell off today, but the rally gives HODLers another opportunity to sell. Any ideas what’s propping it up? Remember, $65K is resistance. There isn’t much upside above th…

Peter Schiff · Twitter

Despite selling Bitcoin and $MSTR to raise cash and buy back $STRC, STRC is still trading below $95. It looks like @Saylor is going to have to sell a lot more Bitcoin and discounted common stock to ra…

Peter Schiff · Twitter

But for all practical purposes, for most investors, it will feel like zero... Bitcoin will lose over 99% of its market value, even if it still trades above zero.

Peter Schiff · Benzinga

Despite unprecedented support from the media, Wall Street, and government, Bitcoin is trading below the $69K ATH it first hit in Nov. 2021. At no point in its 16-year history did Bitcoin ever trade be…

Peter Schiff · Twitter